Abstract

Purpose: Cancers are one of the main causes of mortality in the world. The incidence of cancers in the world and mainly in developing countries is increasing. Due to the importance of this issue, the purpose of the current study was to assess the trend of incidence and death of Bladder Cancer among Iranian Military Community (MC) from 2007 to 2019. Methods: This is a cross-sectional study using time series data. All registered bladder cancer in Iranian Military community from March 2007 to February 2017 entered in this study. The future trend predicted using ARIMA (p,d,q) model. All analyzes were performed using ITSM and Excel (2010) software. Results: According to ARIMA (2, 2, 1) model, the bladder cancer among the Iranian military community had an increasing trend. The AR (12, 2, 0) model showed an increasing trend of this cancer among males but it seems the trend of bladder cancer among females will have a constant trend AR (12, 2, 1). The death due to bladder cancer was showed a decreasing trend using AR (14, 2, 1) model. Conclusion: In spite of decreasing trend in death due to bladder cancer, the trend of incidence of the Bladder cancer among the Iranian Military Community was increasing. However, it is necessary to adjust the effect of many factors that may have an important role in this trend.